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/ automotive / tata-motors-q3-performance-forecast

Tata Motors Expects Stronger Q3 Performance Thanks to Festive Season Boost

~ By Sujeet Rawat

Nov 10 2024, 05:06 PM

Tata Motors Expects Stronger Q3 Performance Thanks to Festive Season Boost
Tata Motors anticipates a stronger Q3 performance driven by festive season demand and a strategic focus on passenger vehicles and electric vehicles. Despite a recent 5% drop in Q2 registrations and inventory challenges, the company’s management remains optimistic. New model releases and targeted marketing are expected to increase passenger vehicle sales, especially SUVs, which have shown steady growth. Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) is also on track to recover from earlier supply chain issues, with a forecast of improved sales volumes and better cash flows for the fiscal year.

Tata Motors, one of India’s leading automotive manufacturers, is optimistic about a significant sales boost in the third quarter, supported by the festive season’s strong demand and a renewed marketing focus on passenger vehicles. In its Q2 report, the company acknowledged a 5% decline in passenger vehicle registrations year-over-year, citing inventory concerns and shifts in the electric vehicle (EV) subsidy landscape. However, the festive season’s early start and high customer turnout have given the company confidence in a successful Q3, with several new vehicle models positioned to draw consumer interest.

The festive period traditionally marks an uptick in vehicle purchases across India, and this year’s season began sooner than expected, resulting in a notable increase in retail sales. This retail surge contrasts with wholesale sales, which represent shipments from manufacturers to dealers and have seen flat to slightly decreased growth. SUVs, however, have remained a popular choice among consumers, maintaining solid sales momentum even as other segments like hatchbacks and sedans experience a decline in popularity.

Managing Director of Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles and Tata Passenger Electric Mobility, Shailesh Chandra, shared insights on the company’s response to evolving market conditions. Chandra noted that Tata Motors proactively adjusted its supply chain to manage inventory levels more effectively and to accommodate reduced subsidies for EVs. By slowing supply in Q2, Tata Motors has been able to address some of the logistical challenges that arose as the company geared up for Q3, a period traditionally marked by high sales volume due to holiday shopping trends. According to Chandra, this strategic adjustment will allow the company to keep up with festive demand and ensure that dealerships maintain an adequate but controlled level of inventory.

In the broader industry, SUVs have shown a year-over-year growth of 8%, showcasing strong consumer interest compared to the 20% volume decline seen in smaller car segments such as hatchbacks and sedans. This trend reflects a shift in consumer preferences, with buyers increasingly drawn to the versatility and features offered by SUVs. Tata Motors has been at the forefront of this movement, capitalizing on the popularity of its SUV lineup, which includes models known for their performance, design, and safety features.

Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), Tata Motors’ luxury brand, has also maintained its full-year sales and profit outlook despite supply chain difficulties earlier in the fiscal year. JLR faced significant production delays, notably impacted by a flooding incident at its Nivelles facility. This setback reduced production to around 86,000 units for the quarter. Nonetheless, JLR’s leadership remains confident about a rebound in the second half of the year. According to JLR’s Chief Financial Officer, Richard Molyneux, the brand achieved notable profitability during the quarter, a testament to the brand’s resilience and operational efficiency amid challenges. With a projected revenue of £30 billion and an EBIT margin target above 8.5%, JLR aims to build on this momentum and meet its financial goals by the end of the fiscal year.

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Tata Motors has also outlined a comprehensive plan to sustain its growth momentum. Key to this plan is a continued focus on innovation and expansion within the EV market, where Tata Motors has established itself as a leading player in India. The company’s push toward sustainable mobility solutions aligns with global shifts toward environmentally friendly transportation options. As part of its strategy, Tata Motors is expected to roll out additional EV models, leveraging its expertise and early-mover advantage in this sector. This focus on EVs will likely help the company attract more environmentally conscious consumers and boost its market share in the coming years.

The company’s Q2 financial results indicated some challenges. Tata Motors reported a consolidated net profit decline of 11.18% year-over-year, amounting to Rs 3,343 crore, falling short of analysts’ predictions of Rs 5,038 crore. Revenue also saw a slight drop, down 3.5% from the previous year to Rs 101,450 crore. The company’s stock reflected these challenges, closing 2% lower on the NSE. Over the past three months, Tata Motors shares have experienced a correction of nearly 22%, highlighting investor concerns regarding the company’s near-term profitability and market conditions.

Despite these fluctuations, Tata Motors remains committed to delivering value and growth, supported by its robust lineup of passenger vehicles and an expanding EV portfolio. As the festive season continues, the company’s efforts to drive sales through targeted promotions and new model releases are expected to contribute to a stronger performance in Q3. Management anticipates that these strategic moves will not only bolster Q3 sales but also set the stage for sustained growth in the quarters that follow.

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Looking ahead, Tata Motors’ outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year appears cautiously optimistic. The combination of festive season demand, a solid strategy for inventory management, and a growing foothold in the EV market positions Tata Motors for potential growth, even amid global and domestic challenges. With a diversified portfolio and a commitment to innovation, Tata Motors aims to stay at the forefront of India’s automotive industry, continually adapting to the evolving preferences and needs of its customers.

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