~ By Sujeet Rawat
Sep 7 2024, 05:20 PM
Experts are forecasting a significant rise in gold prices, potentially reaching $3,000 per ounce by 2025. Several key factors are expected to drive this increase, including anticipated rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, persistent inflation, and ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly due to conflicts involving Ukraine, Russia, and China.
Gold is currently trading near record highs, buoyed by strong demand and central bank purchases. Ajay Garg, CEO of SMC Global Securities, points out that gold has always been a beneficiary of economic uncertainty, and this trend is likely to continue amid global financial volatility. He notes, "Geopolitical risks, such as the Ukraine war and tensions with China, coupled with high inflation rates above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, make gold an attractive investment."
The likelihood of rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in response to slowing economic growth has further fueled optimism about gold. Joseph Thomas, VP of Kotak Securities, states, "If rate cuts do occur, we could see gold prices rise to between $2,800 and $3,000." Central banks around the world are continuing to increase their gold reserves, driven by a need to diversify away from traditional currencies like the US dollar, further supporting gold's value.
The World Gold Council's recent data highlights that central banks bought more gold in July 2024, reflecting their concerns over global economic uncertainty. A combination of economic recession fears, a potential decline in equity markets, and continued geopolitical tensions are expected to maintain strong demand for gold.
Naveen Mathur, Director of Anand Rathi Shares, observes that gold prices have risen by 14% in India over the past year. "We anticipate a firm trend in gold prices for the rest of the year, driven by the peak festive season demand starting in October," Mathur notes.
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Analysts predict that gold prices will average between $2,500 and $2,560 per ounce over the next year, with the potential for a significant spike to $3,000 per ounce by 2025. Factors such as US rate cuts, continued central bank purchases, and geopolitical risks will likely play a crucial role in determining gold's future trajectory.
[Disclaimer: This content is based on expert predictions and market analysis. It is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendations.]
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